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ARD-DeutschlandTREND

November 2015

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages?
Course of time

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages? Course of time

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages?
Party Supporters

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages? Party Supporters

Opinions on the subject „refugees“

Opinions on the subject „refugees“

„I‘m afraid of so many refugees coming to us.“

„I‘m afraid of so many refugees coming to us.“

Evaluation of the economic situation in Germany
Course of time

Evaluation of the economic situation in Germany Course of time

Evaluation of the personal economic situation
Course of time

Evaluation of the personal economic situation Course of time

Satisfaction with government
Course of time

Satisfaction with government Course of time

Satisfaction with politicians

Satisfaction with politicians

Satisfaction with politicians concerning asylum and refugee policy

Satisfaction with politicians concerning asylum and refugee policy

Measures of German refugee policy

Measures of German refugee policy

Measures of German refugee policy
„Establishment of transit areas at the borders“

Measures of German refugee policy „Establishment of transit areas at the borders“

Vote intention

Vote intention

Vote intention (West / East Germany)

Vote intention (West / East Germany)

Understanding for the protest of the „Pegida“ movement 
Party Supporters

Understanding for the protest of the „Pegida“ movement Party Supporters

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages?
Course of time

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages? Course of time

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages?
Party Supporters

Evaluation of immigration: more advantages or disadvantages? Party Supporters

Opinions on the subject „refugees“

Opinions on the subject „refugees“

„I‘m afraid of so many refugees coming to us.“

„I‘m afraid of so many refugees coming to us.“

Evaluation of the economic situation in Germany
Course of time

Evaluation of the economic situation in Germany Course of time

Evaluation of the personal economic situation
Course of time

Evaluation of the personal economic situation Course of time

Satisfaction with government
Course of time

Satisfaction with government Course of time

Satisfaction with politicians

Satisfaction with politicians

Satisfaction with politicians concerning asylum and refugee policy

Satisfaction with politicians concerning asylum and refugee policy

Measures of German refugee policy

Measures of German refugee policy

Measures of German refugee policy
„Establishment of transit areas at the borders“

Measures of German refugee policy „Establishment of transit areas at the borders“

Vote intention

Vote intention

Vote intention (West / East Germany)

Vote intention (West / East Germany)

Understanding for the protest of the „Pegida“ movement 
Party Supporters

Understanding for the protest of the „Pegida“ movement Party Supporters

The Christian Union still suffers most from the criticism of the refugee policy of the Government and would currently achieve 37 percent of votes (-3 percentage points compared to October). The Social Democrats would again get 24 percent. While the Greens slightly improve (11 percent, +1), the Left (9 percent) and the Liberals (5 percent) remain at the same level. The AfD manages to extend their share to 8 percent (+2).

Research Design

Universe:Eligible voters in Germany

Sample design:Representative random sample/Dual Frame

Data collection method:Computer-based telephone interviews (CATI) /Dual Frame

Base size:1.003 respondents
Vote intention: 1.503 respondents

Field period:November 2-3, 2015
Vote intention: November 2-4, 2015


Error margin:1,4* to 3,1** percentage points
* at a share of 5%
** at a share of 50%

Institute:infratest dimap

Opinion and Election Research

Heiko Gothe

Associate Director Opinion and Election Research

heiko.gothe @infratest-dimap.de