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ARD-DeutschlandTREND extra

February 2018 coalition agreement

Vote intention

Vote intention

Continuation of Angela Merkel's chancellorship

Continuation of Angela Merkel's chancellorship

Coalition agreement: Winner of the coalition talks

Coalition agreement: Winner of the coalition talks

Social Democrats party-leadership: Would Andrea Nahles be able to unite the Social Democrats and carry the party forward?

Social Democrats party-leadership: Would Andrea Nahles be able to unite the Social Democrats and carry the party forward?

Vote intention

Vote intention

Continuation of Angela Merkel's chancellorship

Continuation of Angela Merkel's chancellorship

Coalition agreement: Winner of the coalition talks

Coalition agreement: Winner of the coalition talks

Social Democrats party-leadership: Would Andrea Nahles be able to unite the Social Democrats and carry the party forward?

Social Democrats party-leadership: Would Andrea Nahles be able to unite the Social Democrats and carry the party forward?

The end of the coalition talks was accompanied by an intensive debates about Martin Schulz and Andrea Nahles regarding their aspired roles as foreign minister (Schulz) and party leader (Nahles). In view of the controversial inner-party discussions, 85 percent of the people believe that these events will cause damage for the Social Democrats in the long term.

As a consequence, the Social Democrats lose support and would only reach 16 percent at a federal election (-2 percentage points compared to the beginning of February) – a record low in the ARD-DeutschlandTREND. The Christian Union would remain stable at 33 percent. AfD (15 percent, +1) and Greens (13 percent, +2) could increase their vote share, while the Left remains unchanged (11 percent) and the Liberals slightly lose (9 percent, -1).

Studieninformation

Grundgesamtheit:Eligible voters in Germany

Stichprobe:Representative random sample/Dual Frame

Erhebungsverfahren:Telephone interviews (CATI)

Fallzahl:1.001 respondents

Erhebungszeitraum:February 13 -15, 2018

Schwankungsbreite:1,4* to 3,1** percentage points
* at a share of 5%
** at a share of 50%

Durchführendes Institut:infratest dimap

Opinion and Election Research

Heiko Gothe

Associate Director Opinion and Election Research

heiko.gothe @infratest-dimap.de